Canada’s Five-Year Household Consumption Outlook—March 2026

Canada’s Five-Year Household Consumption Outlook—March 2026

Business and Household Indicators Canadian Economic Analysis
13 min read

Author: Kiefer Van Mulligen

$225.00

This quarterly economic forecast presents the medium-term outlook for the Canadian economy. This release focuses on household consumption. For an overview of all major components of the economy, go to the Canadian Outlook main page.

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Stalling Population Growth, Weak Confidence Will Curb Spending Growth

Although the Canadian economy has avoided a recession amid U.S. trade tensions, households are still feeling the pinch.

What are the main drivers behind Canada’s near term consumption slowdown? Will real household consumption increase in 2026 and what is expected in 2027 after the renewal of the Canada–United States–Mexico Agreement? What is anticipated to be the primary driver of consumption growth? And what is the outlook for spending growth in specific goods and services categories, like motor vehicles?

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