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Signal49 Research is Canada’s foremost independent applied research organization, delivering rigorous, unbiased, evidence-based insights to help Canadians navigate complex challenges. Each year, we publish over 500 research outputs, offering trusted data, forecasts, and analysis to inform decision-making and drive progress.

Our Work

We are an independent, non-partisan, not-for-profit organization guided by the public interest and committed to real-world impact. We create rigorous, evidence-based research that leaders can trust to inform confident decision-making. A proudly Canadian organization, we focus on understanding the country’s most pressing challenges and advancing prosperity and wellbeing for all who live here.

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Latest Research by Topic

Discover the latest data, analysis, and commentary from our economists and researchers on the most urgent issues facing communities, organizations, and the country.

Series:GrowthNow

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GrowthNow for April 2026

Moderate second-quarter recovery despite persistent external headwinds In this monthly report, we analyze the latest economic trends—including trade and employment—and provide a real-time forecast of Canada’s real GDP growth. What…

Labour Market Momentum Continues to Build

Employment continued to expand in July, with the economy adding 75,100 positions. The employment rate edged up to 60.9 per cent, while the unemployment rate declined further to 6.4 per…

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Canada’s Five-Year Household Consumption Outlook—August 2026

Demographics and Trade Prospects Will Shape Spending Although consumer spending has remained resilient despite flat GDP and weak confidence, population decline is reshaping consumption dynamics. Demographic changes will weigh on…

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Canadian Hiring Index for July 2026

Hiring Activity Held Steady in June The Canadian Hiring Index (CHI) dipped slightly to 110.5 (2018 = 100.0) in June. Was Canadian hiring activity broadly stable in June? What was…

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Index of Consumer Confidence for July 2026

Consumer Confidence Extends Gains into July This quarter, we look at consumer confidence, by province, for July, compared to June this year and last July. Gains in consumer confidence varied…

Index of Consumer Spending for May 2026

Four-Year-High Gas Prices and Jobs Rebound Lift May Consumer Spending Canada’s Index of Consumer Spending stood at 127.3 in May 2026, a gain of 6.1 points from April. Consumers paid…

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Canada’s Five-Year International Trade Outlook—August 2026

Exporters Navigate Shifting Sand Weaker global demand combined with U.S. trade policy uncertainty will continue to cloud the outlook for Canada’s export sector in the near term. Merchandise imports will…

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Canada’s Five-Year Energy Outlook—August 2026

Volatility Abroad, Vitality at Home Canada’s energy outlook over the next five years will be shaped by a combination of geopolitical uncertainty, evolving global demand patterns, and the continued transition…
Series:GrowthNow

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GrowthNow for April 2026

Moderate second-quarter recovery despite persistent external headwinds In this monthly report, we analyze the latest economic trends—including trade and employment—and provide a real-time forecast of Canada’s real GDP growth. What…

Labour Market Momentum Continues to Build

Employment continued to expand in July, with the economy adding 75,100 positions. The employment rate edged up to 60.9 per cent, while the unemployment rate declined further to 6.4 per…
Series:Trade

Strong Trade Performance Despite External Headwinds

Canada’s merchandise exports rose 0.4 per cent in June. Meanwhile, imports were up 0.2 per cent. As a result, Canada’s merchandise trade surplus widened from $3.7 billion in May to…

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Canada’s Five-Year Financial Markets Outlook—August 2026

Uncertainty Rules A brief oil price surge prompted by conflict in the Middle East has resulted in upticks in headline inflation. So far, price increases have been largely contained to…

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Quebec’s Travel Markets Outlook—July 2026

La Belle Province Is Playing to Its Strengths Travel volumes to Quebec are expected to improve in 2026 after a slowdown in U.S. visitors held back the province’s tourism industry…

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Ontario’s Travel Markets Outlook—July 2026

Home Travel Leads as Global Demand Rebuilds Ontario’s travel market faces positive conditions over the outlook, in the near term receiving a continued domestic boost spurred by Canadians’ pivot away…

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Saskatchewan’s Travel Markets Outlook—June 2026

Shift Toward Canada Supports Tourism Growth in Saskatchewan This quarter we look at Saskatchewan’s travel and tourism sector and the effects of a decline in domestic overnight visits, reduced population…

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Prince Edward Island’s Travel Markets Outlook—June 2026

Pickup in Global Visits Signals New Highs Tourism to Prince Edward Island will continue to grow rapidly in 2026, fuelled by a bounce-back in international visitation. This growth will continue…

STEM-Trained Women in Critical Industries—July 2026

Act Now or Fall Behind: Mobilizing STEM-Trained Women to Strengthen Critical Industries In this research, we examine what motivates STEM-trained women and men to pursue careers in the key sectors…

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HR Spotlight Series: Promotions Shape Women’s Careers—June 2026

Spotlight on The Broken Rung: How Early Promotion Shapes Women’s Careers We look at the barriers women face along the pathway to leadership roles in employment and how the gap…

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HR Spotlight Series: Workplace Design to Retain Women—June 2026

Spotlight on Rethinking Retention: Workplace Design That Encourages Women to Stay Spotlight on Rethinking Retention: Workplace Design That Encourages Women to StayWomen’s retention is one of the most serious—and most…

Neuroinclusive Work‑Integrated Learning—May 2026

Pathways to Careers: Advancing Neuroinclusive Work‑Integrated Learning in Higher Education In this research, we will explore how work-integrated learning (WIL) can be designed to be more inclusive. WIL can provide…

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Benefits Benchmarking: Designing Competitive Programs—April 2026

Benefits Benchmarking 2026: Insights for Designing Competitive Benefits Programs Benefits Benchmarking 2026: Insights for Designing Competitive Benefits Programs summarizes the results of our Benefits Benchmarking 2025 survey. The findings are…

Inclusive Workplaces Start With Understanding—March 2026

Inclusive Workplaces Start With Understanding Stigma can limit a person’s ability to succeed at work. It shows up when people hold false beliefs or make unfair judgments about others. How…
Series:Trade

Strong Trade Performance Despite External Headwinds

Canada’s merchandise exports rose 0.4 per cent in June. Meanwhile, imports were up 0.2 per cent. As a result, Canada’s merchandise trade surplus widened from $3.7 billion in May to…
Series:Trade

Exports Reach Record High on the Back of Strong Crude Oil Shipments

Canada’s merchandise exports rose 1.6 per cent in April. Meanwhile, imports were up 0.3 per cent. As a result, Canada’s merchandise trade surplus widened from $1.8 billion in March to…
Series:Trade

Gold and Crude Oil Behind the Export Jump in March

Canada’s merchandise exports rose 8.5 per cent (month-over-month) in March. Meanwhile, imports were down 1.6 per cent. As a result, Canada’s merchandise trade balance shifted from a deficit of $5.1…

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U.S.’s Five-Year Outlook—April 2026

Prices Up, Jobs Down, and Risks Abound Turmoil for the U.S. economy is showing no signs of slowing down, with last year’s headwinds now being compounded by the latest conflict…

Bank of Canada Holds Policy Rate Amid Middle East Uncertainty

The Bank of Canada held the target for the overnight rate at 2.25 per cent, with the Bank Rate at 2.50 per cent and the deposit rate at 2.20 per…

Canada Health Workforce Turnover & Migration Costs—August 2026

Retention in Healthcare: Migration Costs and System Perspectives The movement of health professionals within Canada and internationally has measurable implications for health system capacity, workforce planning, and public investment. This…

The Care Economy

Française à suivre Future Skills Centre Podcast: Season 6, Episode 3 Listen on Apple Podcasts Listen on Spotify All Future Skills Episodes In this episode of the Future Skills Podcast,…

Economic Footprint of Canada’s Pharmacy Sector—June 2026

The Economic Footprint of Canada’s Pharmacy Sector: Fuelling Health and Local Economies In this research, we examine the economic footprint of Canada’s pharmacy sector, including its contribution to GDP, employment,…

Indigenous Community Health Workers in Canada—May 2026

Training to Retain: Strengthening the Role of Indigenous Community Health Workers in Canada Indigenous community health workers play a critical role in rural and remote Indigenous communities, where healthcare access…

The Value of Shingles Vaccination—May 2026

Healthy Aging and Building Economic Resilience: The Value of Shingles Vaccination In this research, we examine the direct and indirect value of a cohesive publicly funded adult vaccination program in…

Immigrants in Canada’s Skilled Trades—July 2026

Immigrants in Canada’s Skilled Trades: Untapped Talent Amid Growing Demand We conducted a literature review to understand the current representation of immigrants in the skilled trades and the challenges Canada…

Absorptive Capacity and Sustainable Immigration Policy—July 2026

How Canada Can Chart a Sustainable Path: Absorptive Capacity and the Future of Canadian Immigration Policy In this primer, we analyze the results of a review of relevant Canadian literature…

Unlocking Immigrant Talent in the Skilled Trades—June 2026

Unlocking Skilled Immigrant Talent: Why So Few Skilled Trades Immigrants Certify in Their Intended Occupation In this research, we look at the persistent labour shortages in Canada’s skill trades. Canada’s…

Immigrant Skill Utilization in the Hospitality Sector—April 2026

From Newcomers to Game Changers: Immigrant Skill Utilization in the Hospitality Sector Immigrants are more likely than Canadian-born workers to be overeducated for their jobs in hospitality. However, many employers…

Immigrant Skill Utilization in the Construction Sector—April 2026

From Newcomers to Game Changers: Immigrant Skill Utilization in the Construction Sector  Canada’s construction sector is facing acute labour shortages, yet immigrant talent remains underutilized. Involuntary part-time work and overeducation…

A Framework for Indigenous Export Readiness—June 2026

The 3Ds of Indigenous Export Readiness: Demonstration, Durability, and De-risking in Practice This study explores how Indigenous small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Canada develop the skills and capabilities required…

Indigenous Community Health Workers in Canada—May 2026

Training to Retain: Strengthening the Role of Indigenous Community Health Workers in Canada Indigenous community health workers play a critical role in rural and remote Indigenous communities, where healthcare access…

Indigenous-Led Education Infrastructure—May 2026

Mamawmatawa Holistic Education Centre: An Indigenous-Led Model for Education Infrastructure Development This spotlight examines Mamawmatawa Holistic Education Centre (MHEC) in Constance Lake First Nation, which comprises elementary and secondary schools…

Indigenous Economic Realities: $104-billion Opportunity—April 2026

Indigenous Economic Realities: A $104-Billion Opportunity for Indigenous Economic Involvement From coast to coast to coast, Indigenous peoples are showing how project development can be done differently. They are building…

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Canada’s Five-Year Energy Outlook—August 2026

Volatility Abroad, Vitality at Home Canada’s energy outlook over the next five years will be shaped by a combination of geopolitical uncertainty, evolving global demand patterns, and the continued transition…

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Industry Lens: Oil and Gas Extraction—August 2026

Steady Flow Amid Changing Tides Canada’s oil and gas industry, while remaining a cornerstone of the national economy, is operating within an increasingly volatile and developing backdrop. Adaptability, efficiency, and…

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Industry Lens: Air Transportation—August 2026

Fasten Seatbelts for Bumpy Ride The shift in the destination preferences of travellers due to deteriorating relations with the United States will trigger a period of change for Canadian airlines….

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Canada’s Five-Year Housing Outlook—August 2026

Housing Eyes Near-Term Uncertainty Canadian residential markets continue to feel the impact of Canada’s economic and demographic struggles while facing pressure from a difficult international economic outlook, ongoing consumer stress,…

Real GDP increased in May

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 0.3 per cent in May, following a 0.6 per cent rise in April, as both goods-producing and services-producing industries expanded in the month….

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Housing Market Update for July 2026

The Existing Housing Market may Have Troughed, but Housing Starts Probably Haven’t This month, we describe a potential bottom for Canada’s resale market, but another monthly housing starts decline. What…

STEM-Trained Women in Critical Industries—July 2026

Act Now or Fall Behind: Mobilizing STEM-Trained Women to Strengthen Critical Industries In this research, we examine what motivates STEM-trained women and men to pursue careers in the key sectors…

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Employee Relations Trends—June 2026

Employee Relations Trends: Strikes, Wage Increases, and Trends in Bargaining 2026 In this annual publication, we track Canadian labour relations trends, examining wage increases, bargaining agreements, and work stoppages. Which…

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HR Spotlight Series: Promotions Shape Women’s Careers—June 2026

Spotlight on The Broken Rung: How Early Promotion Shapes Women’s Careers We look at the barriers women face along the pathway to leadership roles in employment and how the gap…

inFact subscribers or purchase required. to access.

HR Spotlight Series: Workplace Design to Retain Women—June 2026

Spotlight on Rethinking Retention: Workplace Design That Encourages Women to Stay Spotlight on Rethinking Retention: Workplace Design That Encourages Women to StayWomen’s retention is one of the most serious—and most…

Neuroinclusive Work‑Integrated Learning—May 2026

Pathways to Careers: Advancing Neuroinclusive Work‑Integrated Learning in Higher Education In this research, we will explore how work-integrated learning (WIL) can be designed to be more inclusive. WIL can provide…
Series:HR Insights

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HR Insights: The Capacity Crunch—May 2026

The Capacity Crunch: Benchmarking Delivery Models and Capacity Across HR, IT, and Finance Support functions, such as human resources (HR), information technology (IT), and finance, are operating near capacity. This…

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Quebec’s 20-Year Outlook—July 2026

Demographic Trends Paving the Future Quebec’s long-term economic outlook will be shaped by powerful demographic, technological, and structural forces over the next two decades. While the province is expected to…

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Quebec’s Five-Year Outlook—July 2026

Constrained by Demographic Trends Quebec’s economic outlook is shaped by a combination of cyclical weakness in the near term and structural forces in the medium term. Demographic constraints will produce…

Leadership Roundtable on Government Modernization—July 2026

Leadership Roundtable on Government Modernization: Ottawa | June 23, 2026 In this report, we examine the key themes, insights, and practical considerations raised by participants during a roundtable discussion convened…

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Quebec’s Travel Markets Outlook—July 2026

La Belle Province Is Playing to Its Strengths Travel volumes to Quebec are expected to improve in 2026 after a slowdown in U.S. visitors held back the province’s tourism industry…

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WILing to Work: Rebuilding the First Rung of the Career Ladder

This op-ed was originally published by TheFutureEconomy.ca on August 10, 2026. A stronger work-integrated learning system can help Canadian graduates overcome a shrinking entry-level job market and build the skills…

Skills for Canada’s Nuclear Energy Value Chain—August 2026

Built From Within: Skills for Canada’s Nuclear Energy Value Chain This web page introduces an upcoming study from Signal49 Research on how innovation in nuclear technologies will reshape skills demand…

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Commercial Intelligence Skill Trends—July 2026

The New Business Literacy: Commercial Intelligence Skills Trend In this research, we examine two years of job postings data from Signal49’s Vicinity Jobs database to gain insight into demand for…

AI on the Horizon: June 22, 2026 Update

Canada’s AI for All Strategy Canada’s latest AI news on the economy, society, and policy. In this issue of AI on the Horizon, we take a close look at the…

A Dynamic Approach to Measuring Changing Skills—June 2026

How Are Skills and Jobs Evolving? Addressing the Need for a Dynamic Approach to Skills This research introduces a new way to forecast the skills required within and across occupations,…

A Workforce to Build Big

Française à suivre Future Skills Centre Podcast: Season 6, Episode 2 Listen on Apple Podcasts Listen on Spotify All Future Skills Episodes In this episode of the Future Skills Podcast,…

Skills for Canada’s Nuclear Energy Value Chain—August 2026

Built From Within: Skills for Canada’s Nuclear Energy Value Chain This web page introduces an upcoming study from Signal49 Research on how innovation in nuclear technologies will reshape skills demand…

Comparison of Nuclear Energy Regulatory Efficiency—June 2026

Time to Build: Nuclear Energy Regulatory Efficiency in Canada, United States, and France In this research, we examine Canada’s nuclear energy regulatory timelines and how we compare with the United…

A Socio-economic Lens on Jasper’s Disaster Recovery—June 2026

Recovering Jasper: Understanding Disaster Recovery Through a Socio-economic Lens This research draws on interviews conducted between September 2025 and January 2026 with government agencies, non-governmental organizations, local businesses, and community…

Climate-Resilient and Affordable Housing in Canada—May 2026

Under One Roof: (Re)building Climate Resilient and Affordable Housing in Canada In this research, we evaluate the exposure of Canada’s social and affordable housing units to floods and large wildfires….

A New Era in Energy in Canada with Mark Parsons and Pedro Antunes

Leadership Perspectives: Economic Matters, Episode 23 Listen on Apple Podcasts Listen on Spotify All Leadership Perspective Episodes In this episode we explore the changing relationship around energy and potential for…

Tracking Social Impacts of Canadian Wildfires—December 2025

Canada’s Wildfire Blind Spot: The Missing Data on Social Impacts Discussions around Canadian wildfires often focus on their physical impacts, but overlook their social impacts. This limits the effectiveness of…

Building Canada’s AI Advantage

Française à suivre Future Skills Centre Podcast: Season 6, Episode 4 Listen on Apple Podcasts Listen on Spotify All Future Skills Episodes In this episode of the Future Skills Podcast,…

AI on the Horizon: July 23, 2026 Update

Canada’s latest AI news on the economy, society, and policy. In this issue of AI on the Horizon, we take a close look at the recent developments in initial public…

Comparing Canadian and U.S. Chemistry Patent Holders—July 2026

Who Are Canada’s Key Chemistry Patent Holders? A Comparative Analysis With U.S. Holders Ownership of chemistry patents is significantly more concentrated in Canada than in the United States. On average…

Canadian and U.S. Electrical Engineering Patent Holders—July 2026

Who Are Canada’s Key Electrical Engineering Patent Holders in Electrical Engineering? A comparative analysis with the U.S. holders Patent ownership in electrical engineering is not significantly different between Canada and…

Canadian and U.S. Mechanical Engineering Patent Holders—July 2026

Who Are Canada’s Key Mechanical Engineering Patent Holders? A Comparative Analysis With U.S. Holders This data briefing investigates the concentration of patent ownership in Canada’s innovation system. Patent ownership in…

Comparing Canadian and U.S. Instruments Patent Holders—July 2026

Who Are Canada’s Key Instruments Patent Holders? A Comparative Analysis With U.S. Holders Patent ownership in instruments and other technologies is not significantly different between Canada and the United States….

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Canada’s Five-Year Housing Outlook—August 2026

Housing Eyes Near-Term Uncertainty Canadian residential markets continue to feel the impact of Canada’s economic and demographic struggles while facing pressure from a difficult international economic outlook, ongoing consumer stress,…

inFact subscribers or purchase required. to access.

Housing Market Update for July 2026

The Existing Housing Market may Have Troughed, but Housing Starts Probably Haven’t This month, we describe a potential bottom for Canada’s resale market, but another monthly housing starts decline. What…

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Major City Insights: Winnipeg—July 2026

Construction anchors growth through 2030 This quarter, we assess how Winnipeg’s economy is holding up in the face of a declining population and international trade uncertainty. To what extent is…

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Major City Insights: Montreal—July 2026

Adjusting to shifting currents This quarter, we assess the threats to Montréal’s economy, including persistent international trade uncertainty and demographic headwinds. How is the decline in population constraining local economic…

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Major City Insights: Victoria—July 2026

Public Sector Cuts to Hurt Victoria’s Economic Growth This quarter, we assess how Victoria’s economy is holding up in the face of a declining population, tighter fiscal policy, and international…

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Major City Insights: Québec City—July 2026

Building foundations for future growth This quarter, we assess how Québec City’s economy is holding up in the face of a declining population and international trade uncertainty. Despite slowing job…

Impact paper
Understand the long-term implications of policy or program choices. Impact papers combine rigorous research and analysis to project potential outcomes, risks, and benefits, helping decision-makers assess strategic paths with confidence.

Issue briefing
Get focused analysis on a single issue or policy question affecting Canada. Issue briefings outline challenges, context and implications, helping policymakers and leaders evaluate problems and possible responses.

Data briefing
Access concise, data-driven summaries on key economic, social or sectoral trends. Data briefings deliver timely statistics and analysis to help leaders monitor shifts and make evidence-based decisions grounded in current data.

Data dashboards
Data dashboards present rich data in concise forms that allow users to manipulate and parse data for their own purposes. Ideal for people who want to dig into the data themselves.

Case study
Explore real-world examples that spotlight how organizations or communities implemented policies or practices. Case studies reveal lessons, outcomes and practical insights that help leaders replicate success or avoid pitfalls in similar contexts.

Online Experience
Engage with interactive or multimedia content that delivers focused research in accessible formats. Online experiences provide short, digestible insights that make complex findings easy to explore and share across audiences.

Primer
Get a clear, foundational overview of a topic or emerging issue. Primers introduce essential background, definitions and context, equipping readers with baseline knowledge before diving deeper into detailed research.

Spotlight
Highlight emerging trends, promising practices or important developments in a given area. Spotlights bring attention to what matters now, helping leaders stay aware of shifts and opportunities early.

Summary for executives
Receive a sharp, concise digest of key findings and recommendations, tailored for busy decision-makers. Summaries for executives distill full research into actionable takeaways for strategic planning or policy response.

Leaders’ roundtable insights
Gain high-level perspectives from convened senior leaders and stakeholders. Leaders’ roundtable insights distill key takeaways, consensus views, and strategic considerations emerging from expert dialogue, guiding policy and organizational direction.

Listening Tour insights
Get grounded perspectives from Canadians across regions and sectors. Listening Tour insights synthesize candid feedback from diverse participants to surface emerging priorities, public sentiment, and actionable ideas, giving decision-makers a clear pulse on what matters most.  

Quick take
Quick takes offer instant, concise analysis of emerging trends, helping leaders respond quickly to what’s shaping Canada’s economy and society.

Podcast
Our podcasts share thoughtful conversations that combine expert insight with real-world perspectives on Canada’s most pressing issues.

Webinar
Live or recorded webinars bring research to life, enabling leaders to explore findings, ask questions, and hear directly from researchers and practitioners.

Commentary
Commentaries highlight economic, social, and policy developments and trends and interpret data to help leaders anticipate change.

Op-ed
Op-eds that have appeared on media sites are archived on our website. They provide evidence-informed analysis, make the case for change, and help leaders think critically.

Listening tour (CCGP): Interactive, high-energy sessions where leaders from across sectors collaborate to challenge assumptions, share insights, and co-create bold, practical solutions for Canada’s future. Reports produced after these events help inform action and policy.

Summit: Large-scale flagship gatherings where senior leaders explore major economic, workforce, and policy challenges. Expert insights, peer exchange, and forward-looking discussions help attendees gain a deeper understanding of emerging trends and their implications.

Virtual: Live, online experiences that connect leaders across regions for timely, accessible conversations on Canada’s most pressing issues. Offering convenience without sacrificing depth or engagement, these sessions blend expert perspectives with interactive discussion to surface insights and practical takeaways.

Webinar: Led by subject-matter experts, these focused, insight-driven sessions explore specific topics and emerging trends shaping the economy, workforce, and policy landscape, delivering clear analysis, key data points, and actionable implications.

Council meetings: Member-only peer-to-peer forums where senior leaders share challenges, test ideas, and learn from one another in a confidential setting. Discussion, expert input, and real-world case insights support better decision-making, and participants leave with practical strategies, new connections, and a broader perspective.   

Knowledge Areas

Our knowledge areas are powered by world-class subject matter experts, researchers, and economists producing evidence-based research and forecasts that help Canada’s leaders make informed decisions, address challenges, and shape policies and strategies.

Research Series

Stay informed with recurring reports, forecasts, podcasts, and expert commentary covering the economy, human resources, education, innovation, and thought leadership.

Each publication provides timely data, insights, and analysis to help leaders navigate challenges and make confident, forward-looking decisions.





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