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Canadian Economics

Signal49 Research is Canada’s largest private economic analysis and forecasting unit, offering a comprehensive suite of regional and industry-level forecasts, custom research, and economic data services. Powered by expert economists and advanced modelling, our timely insights help you understand the impact of macroeconomic trends, plan for a shifting economic landscape, and stay ahead of changing market conditions.

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Featured Research

Series:Provincial Fiscal Outlook

Debt to Balloon as Province Attempts to Maintain Core Services: Our Analysis of the British Columbia Budget 2026

British Columbia is anticipating a deficit of $9.6 billion in fiscal year 2025-26. Despite being lower than government projections of $11.2 billion issued in the fall of last year, it…
Topics: Provincial Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: British Columbia, Business Research
Canada Budget, Economic Forecast, Economy Analysis, Fiscal Updates, GDP Canada, Health Care Economics, Industry Analysis, Labour Market, Provincial Research, Tariffs, Trade Export and Import
February 18, 2026 5 min read
Series:Provincial Fiscal Outlook

Provincial Fiscal Outlook—July 2025

Deficits to Gradually Narrow Provincial governments across Canada are facing fiscal challenges. Most are struggling to balance their books amid spending pressures, as pandemic-related interest costs linger, and a rising…
Topics: Canadian Economic Analysis, Provincial Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: Atlantic Canada, Business Research
Canada Budget, Economic Forecast, Economy Analysis, Education in Canada, Energy Economics, GDP Canada, Healthcare in Canada, Household in Economics, Housing Market Forecast, Immigrants Coming to Canada, Immigration Policies in Canada, Industry Analysis, Interest Rate, Oil and Gas, Population Research, Provincial Research, Sustainable Finance, Tariffs, Trade Export and Import
July 29, 2025 1 min read

Understanding the Influence of AI on Employment—January 2026

Understanding the Influence of AI on Employment This issue briefing uses a new framework to estimate the exposure of different job tasks to new technologies such as AI, the potential…
Topics: Canadian Economic Analysis, Technology and Innovation Analysis
Subject Matter: Artificial Intelligence, Business Research
Corporate Innovation, Economic Forecast, Emerging Technologies, Employment Rate in Canada, Impact of Automation on Employment, Industry Analysis, Innovation and Growth, Innovation Strategy, Job Transitions, Jobs at Risk of Automation, Labour Market, Trade Export and Import
January 6, 2026 1 min read
Series:Canadian 5-Year Outlook

Canada’s Five-Year Outlook—January 2026

Reaching the Fork in the Road This quarter, we look at the pressure U.S. trade policy continues to put on the Canadian economy. Could Canada’s latest federal budget be the…
Topics: Canadian Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: 5 Year Outlook, Business Research
Canada Budget, Consumer Trends, Economic Forecast, Economy Analysis, Employment Rate in Canada, Energy Economics, GDP Canada, Household in Economics, Housing Market Forecast, Immigrants Coming to Canada, Immigration Policies in Canada, Industry Analysis, Inflation Impact, Labour Market, Population Research, Salary Research, Tariffs, Trade Export and Import, World Economy
January 9, 2026 1 min read

Latest Research

Series:Provincial Fiscal Outlook

Debt to Balloon as Province Attempts to Maintain Core Services: Our Analysis of the British Columbia Budget 2026

British Columbia is anticipating a deficit of $9.6 billion in fiscal year 2025-26. Despite being lower than government projections of $11.2 billion issued in the fall of last year, it…
Topics: Provincial Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: British Columbia, Business Research
Canada Budget, Economic Forecast, Economy Analysis, Fiscal Updates, GDP Canada, Health Care Economics, Industry Analysis, Labour Market, Provincial Research, Tariffs, Trade Export and Import
February 18, 2026 5 min read
Series:Canadians’ Inflation Expectations

Canadians’ Inflation Expectations for January 2026

Inflation Expectations Were Steady in January Canadians have re-distributed their one-year inflation expectations, with more individuals expecting inflation to increase above 3.0 per cent and fewer individuals expecting inflation to…
Topics: Business and Household Indicators, Canadian Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: Atlantic Canada, Consumer Trends
Economy Analysis, Employment Rate in Canada, Inflation Impact, Interest Rate, Provincial Research, Salary Research
February 18, 2026 1 min read
Series:Consumer Price Index

Cheaper Gasoline Helped Keep CPI Growth Cool in January

In January, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.3 per cent year-over-year (y/y). This was lower than December’s 2.4 per cent increase. Gasoline prices rose by 0.5 per cent…
Topics: Business and Household Indicators, Canadian Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: Consumer Trends, Economy Analysis
Industry Analysis, Inflation Impact, Interest Rate, Oil and Gas
February 17, 2026 3 min read
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