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Canadian Economics

Signal49 Research is Canada’s largest private economic analysis and forecasting unit, offering a comprehensive suite of regional and industry-level forecasts, custom research, and economic data services. Powered by expert economists and advanced modelling, our timely insights help you understand the impact of macroeconomic trends, plan for a shifting economic landscape, and stay ahead of changing market conditions.

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Featured Research

Leadership Roundtable on Government Modernization—July 2026

Leadership Roundtable on Government Modernization: Ottawa | June 23, 2026 In this report, we examine the key themes, insights, and practical considerations raised by participants during a roundtable discussion convened…
Topics: Provincial Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: Alberta, Artificial Intelligence
Atlantic Canada, British Columbia, Business Research, Corporate Innovation, Manitoba, Northern Canada, Ontario, Québec, Saskatchewan
Leaders’ Roundtable Insights
July 28, 2026 12 min read
Series:Interest Rate Announcement

Interest Rate Announcement: Bank of Canada Holds as Growth Resumes

The Bank of Canada held the overnight rate at 2.25 per cent, the Bank Rate at 2.50 per cent, and the deposit rate at 2.20 per cent, the sixth consecutive…
Topics: Business and Household Indicators, Canadian Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: Consumer Trends, Economic Forecast
Economy Analysis, Employment Rate in Canada, Energy Economics, GDP Canada, Housing Market Forecast, Inflation Impact, Interest Rate, Oil and Gas, Tariffs, Trade Export and Import
Quick Take
July 15, 2026 4-min read

Economic Impact of Going All In on Automation—June 2026

Going All In on Automation: Economic Growth, Labour Markets, and the Path Toward a Robust Transition What if Canada went all in on artificial intelligence (AI), robotics, autonomous vehicles, connected…
Topics: Canadian Economic Analysis, Technology and Innovation Analysis
Subject Matter: Artificial Intelligence, Economic Forecast
Economy Analysis, Emerging Technologies, Employment Rate in Canada, GDP Canada, Impact of Automation on Employment, Innovation Economy, Innovation Policy Strategy, Jobs at Risk of Automation, Labour Market
Impact paper, Summary for executives​
June 29, 2026 38 min read

Economic Footprint of Canada’s Pharmacy Sector—June 2026

The Economic Footprint of Canada’s Pharmacy Sector: Fuelling Health and Local Economies In this research, we examine the economic footprint of Canada’s pharmacy sector, including its contribution to GDP, employment,…
Topics: Canadian Economic Analysis, Health and Healthcare
Subject Matter: Canadian Territories, Economy Analysis
GDP Canada, Health Policy, Health Services Research, Healthcare in Canada, Industry Analysis, Labour Market, Population Research, Provincial Research, Rural and Remote Communities in Canada, Salary Research
Issue briefing​
June 29, 2026 15 min read
Series:Interest Rate Announcement

Interest Rate Announcement: Bank of Canada Holds at 2.25 Per Cent

The Bank of Canada held the overnight rate at 2.25 per cent, the Bank Rate at 2.50 per cent, and the deposit rate at 2.20 per cent, the fifth consecutive…
Topics: Business and Household Indicators, Canadian Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: Economy Analysis, Interest Rate
Quick Take
June 10, 2026 3-min read

A Decade of the Balance Calories Initiative—May 2026

A Decade of Calorie Reduction: An Analysis of the Non-Alcoholic Beverage Sector’s Balance Calories Initiative In this research, we explore the progress made toward the non-alcoholic beverage sector’s Balance Calories…
Topics: Industry Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: Consumer Trends, Economy Analysis
Health Policy, Industry Analysis
Data briefing​
May 26, 2026 11 min read
Series:Interest Rate Announcement

Rates Unchanged As Bank Sees Inflation Spike As Temporary

The Bank of Canada held the overnight rate at 2.25 per cent, the Bank Rate at 2.50 per cent, and the deposit rate at 2.20 per cent, the fourth consecutive…
Topics: Business and Household Indicators, Canadian Economic Analysis
Global Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: Economic Forecast, Economy Analysis
Employment Rate in Canada, Energy Economics, GDP Canada, Household in Economics, Inflation Impact, Interest Rate, Oil and Gas, Population Research, Tariffs, Trade Export and Import, World Economy
Quick Take
April 29, 2026 3-min read
Series:Provincial Fiscal Outlook

Federal Spring Economic Update 2026: Sticking to the Plan

Français The spring economic update showed that the federal government is doubling down on its plan to build the nation, with most policy measures focused on boosting private investment. A…
Topics: Canadian Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: Business Research, Canada Budget
Economic Forecast, Economy Analysis, Energy Economics, Fiscal Updates, GDP Canada, Household in Economics, Housing Market Forecast, Innovation and Growth, Labour Market, Oil and Gas, Trade Export and Import
Commentary
April 29, 2026 10-min read

Rethinking How Canada Forecasts Skills Supply—April 2026

From Jobs to Journeys: Rethinking How Canada Forecasts Skills Supply Most tools for forecasting skills supply are outdated. In this report, we highlight our new skills forecasting model—the Career Paths…
Topics: Canadian Economic Analysis, Skills and Workforce Development
Subject Matter: Business Research, Employment Rate in Canada
Future of Work, Job Transitions, Labour Market, Post Secondary Education in Canada, Salary Research, Upskilling the Workforce
Summary for executives​
April 7, 2026 3 min read
Ontario budget, Ontario landscape
Series:Provincial Fiscal Outlook

Ontario Budget 2026: Another Province with Bigger-than-expected Deficits

Persistent trade tensions with the United States and global economic uncertainty have once again disrupted Ontario’s fiscal outlook, leading to an expected deficit of $13.8 billion for fiscal year 2026–27,…
Topics: Provincial Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: Business Research, Canada Budget
Economic Forecast, Economy Analysis, Energy Economics, Fiscal Updates, GDP Canada, Healthcare in Canada, Household in Economics, Housing Market Forecast, Inflation Impact, Interest Rate, Oil and Gas, Ontario, Salary Research, Trade Export and Import
Commentary
March 27, 2026 5-min read

Deepening Canada–Ireland Trade and Investment—September 2025

Beyond Barriers: Deepening Canada–Ireland Trade and Investment Canada and Ireland have cultivated a dynamic and resilient economic relationship, nearly doubling trade since the implementation of the Canada-European Union Comprehensive Economic…
Topics: Canadian Economic Analysis, Global Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: Business Research, Economy Analysis
GDP Canada, Industry Analysis, Innovation and Growth, Population Research, Tourism Analysis, Trade Export and Import, World Economy
Impact paper, Summary for executives​
September 25, 2025 32 min read
Series:Provincial Fiscal Outlook

Quebec’s Prudent Path to Balance Narrows: Our Analysis of the Quebec Budget 2026

Français The province’s deficit for fiscal year (FY) 2026-27 is projected to be $6.3 billion, down from $7.1 billion from the autumn fiscal update. The deficit is forecast to gradually…
Topics: Provincial Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: Business Research, Canada Budget
Consumer Trends, Economic Forecast, Economy Analysis, Education in Canada, Fiscal Updates, GDP Canada, Health Care Economics, Healthcare in Canada, Household in Economics, Industry Analysis, Innovation and Growth, Innovation Economy, Innovation Policy Strategy, Population Research, Québec, Tariffs, Trade Export and Import
Commentary
March 19, 2026 4-min read

Latest Research

Series:Canadian 5-Year Outlook

inFact subscribers or purchase required. to access.

Canada’s Five-Year International Trade Outlook—August 2026

Exporters Navigate Shifting Sand Weaker global demand combined with U.S. trade policy uncertainty will continue to cloud the outlook for Canada’s export sector in the near term. Merchandise imports will…
Topics: Canadian Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: 5 Year Outlook, Business Research
Consumer Trends, Economic Forecast, Economy Analysis, Energy Economics, GDP Canada, Industry Analysis, Inflation Impact, Oil and Gas, Tariffs, Trade Export and Import, World Economy
Online Experience
August 12, 2026 13 min read
Series:Provincial 5-Year Outlook

inFact subscribers or purchase required. to access.

British Columbia’s Five-Year Outlook—August 2026

Coastal Growth Comes With Constraints British Columbia’s economy is forecast to expand by 1.5 per cent in 2026, increase by 2.3 per cent in 2027, then average 2.0 per cent…
Topics: Provincial Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: 5 Year Outlook, British Columbia
Business Research, Canada Budget, Consumer Trends, Economic Forecast, Economy Analysis, Employment Rate in Canada, Energy Economics, Extreme Weather, GDP Canada, Household in Economics, Housing Market Forecast, Immigrants Coming to Canada, Immigration Policies in Canada, Industry Analysis, Inflation Impact, Labour Market, Oil and Gas, Population Research, Provincial Research, Salary Research, Tariffs, Trade Export and Import
Online Experience
August 11, 2026 13 min read
Series:Canadian 5-Year Outlook

inFact subscribers or purchase required. to access.

Canada’s Five-Year Energy Outlook—August 2026

Volatility Abroad, Vitality at Home Canada’s energy outlook over the next five years will be shaped by a combination of geopolitical uncertainty, evolving global demand patterns, and the continued transition…
Topics: Canadian Economic Analysis, Industry Economic Analysis
Subject Matter: 5 Year Outlook, Business Research
Economic Forecast, Economy Analysis, Energy Economics, Oil and Gas, Trade Export and Import, World Economy
Online Experience
August 11, 2026 13 min read
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