This quarterly economic forecast presents the short-term national outlook.
Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Winter 2020
Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Winter 2020
$1,590.00
- Real GDP is forecast to expand by 1.8 per cent in 2020 and 1.9 per cent in 2021. This is up slightly from 2019’s 1.7 per cent gain.
- Canada’s trade sector will continue to be challenged by weak global growth.
- Business investment has been dismal over the past few years. But prospects for energy investment are looking much more promising, thanks to improvements in energy takeaway capacity. And the outlook for the non-energy side remains moderate.
- Canada’s economy will be supported by strong labour markets and modest growth in consumer spending.
- While most provincial governments are expected to maintain a high degree of spending restraint as they work to balance their books, at the federal level the newly re-elected Liberal government is expected to increase spending and reduce taxes.
- With global economic conditions stabilizing, we think the Bank of Canada will make no changes to interest rates in 2020.
Effective January 26, 2026, AERIC Inc./Signal49 Research discontinued use of ‘The Conference Board of Canada’ name, logo and branding, which had been used by AERIC Inc./Signal49 Research under license from The Conference Board, Inc. The Conference Board, Inc. and its licensees, which are not affiliated with Signal49 Research, own all right, title and interest in THE CONFERENCE BOARD name and trademarks in Canada and have the exclusive right to their use in Canada since January 26, 2026.
