Industry Lens: Aerospace—April 2025

Industry Lens: Aerospace—April 2025

Industry Economic Analysis
13 min read

Author: Kiefer Van Mulligen

$985.00

This report examines the short- and medium-term economic and profitability outlook for Canada’s aerospace industry.

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Amid Tariffs, Investment Will Sustain Growth

Protectionism in the United States, including tariffs on aluminum, will directly impact North America’s highly integrated aerospace supply chains. Trade will be interrupted, costs will rise, and uncertainty will remain high.

What will be the effect for aerospace manufacturing products? Despite the disruption befalling the industry in the near term, will many ongoing major investments—including the replacement of Aurora aircraft for the Royal Canadian Air Force and the production of the Airbus A220 and satellites in Quebec—maintain growth? How will tariff barriers affect supply chain rerouting and could this draw future private investment in the industry to the United States instead of Canada? And would the development of a national aerospace strategy bolster aerospace employment growth in the face of industrial policy that has focused for several years on the motor vehicle manufacturing industry?

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