Prices Up, Jobs Down, and Risks Abound
Turmoil for the U.S. economy is showing no signs of slowing down, with last year’s headwinds now being compounded by the latest conflict in the Middle East. The resulting surge in oil prices will undo much of the progress made on inflation over the last two years, weigh on already constrained household budgets, and make upcoming monetary policy decisions increasingly difficult for the Federal Reserve.
How will surging oil prices affect annual inflation? What does the recent Supreme Court ruling on tariffs play into our outlook? How are trade and immigration policies affecting the labour market, consumer spending, and investment in both residential and non-residential structures?
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