Canada’s Five-Year Household Income and Employment Outlook—March 2026

Canada’s Five-Year Household Income and Employment Outlook—March 2026

Business and Household Indicators Canadian Economic Analysis
8 min read

Author: Maxime Arseneau

$225.00

This quarterly economic forecast presents the medium-term outlook for the Canadian economy. This release focuses on household income and employment. For an overview of all major components of the economy, go to the Canadian Outlook main page.

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Softer Population Growth Dims the Outlook

Canada’s labour market ended 2025 on a positive note, with employment growth picking up in the final months after a slow start to the year. In light of lagging employment in manufacturing and construction and ongoing tariff-related uncertainty, along with cautious consumer and business confidence, 2026 is expected to be a transitional year from uncertainty toward greater stability.

How are demographic changes shaping Canada’s labour market? Despite employment remaining more resilient than expected, what worrying trends continue to persist in the labour market? How will the adoption of new technologies such as AI impact labour shortages and the investment plans of businesses?

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