Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Summer 2006

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Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Summer 2006

Canadian Economic Analysis

Author: Pedro Antunes

$480.00

  • Strong consumer spending and private investment drove economic growth to an annualized 3.8 per cent pace in the first quarter of 2006.
  • A new federal budget and better-than-expected revenues for provincial governments have resulted in even more fiscal stimulus than incorporated into our last Canadian Outlook.
  • Despite a strong domestic economy, real GDP growth will be limited to 3.1 per cent in 2006 by further erosion in the trade balance.
  • The Bank of Canada is expected to remain on the sidelines for now as a loonie near US$0.90 continues to mitigate inflationary pressures.
  • Inflation is more prevalent in the United States. The Fed is expected to lift rates another 25 basis points to ensure slower growth in aggregate demand.
  • While some commodity prices have softened recently, energy prices are expected to remain elevated through the end of 2007.
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This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

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