Leading Indicator of Industry Profitability: June 2014

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Leading Indicator of Industry Profitability: June 2014

Industry Economic Analysis

Author: Mike Shaw

$305.00

  • Signal49 Research’s Leading Indicator of Industry Profitability increased to 108 in May, up from 107.8 a month earlier. Continued strength in commodity prices and equity valuations offset a weak April labour market report to help push the index higher for the fourth consecutive month.    
  • At the industry level, the near-term outlook improved for 34 of 49 industries tracked by the index. A recovery in the U.S. following a weak first quarter has supported the manufacturing sector, while a turnaround in the financial service industries resulted in a better month for the service sector.     
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The monthly Leading Indicator of Industry Profitability is constructed from high frequency data series. The indicators are designed to be predictive of movements in corporate profitability six months hence. An industry leading index is created for the economy as a whole, as well as for 49 individual sectors within the economy, thus providing coverage for most of the private business activity that takes place in Canada.

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