Metropolitan Outlook 1: Economic Insights into 13 Canadian Metropolitan Economies: Spring 2009

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Metropolitan Outlook 1: Economic Insights into 13 Canadian Metropolitan Economies: Spring 2009

Urban City Economic Analysis

Author: Alan Arcand, Greg Sutherland, Jane McIntyre, Mario Lefebvre, Maxim Armstrong, Robin Wiebe

$2,525.00

  • Halifax’s economy will remain flat this year.
  • Québec City will see its economy edge up by 0.6 per cent this year thanks to public infrastructure spending.
  • Montréal’s economy will weaken in 2009, falling by 0.5 per cent and into recession for the first time since 1991.
  • Ottawa–Gatineau’s economy will grow this year, but only by 0.2 per cent.
  • With the country in recession, Toronto’s real GDP is forecast to contract by 1.6 per cent in 2009.
  • Ongoing weakness in manufacturing will cause Hamilton’s economy to fall 1.9 per cent in 2009.
  • Winnipeg’s GDP is forecast to grow by 1.1 per cent in 2009, less than half the 2008 pace.
  • Recessionary conditions elsewhere will limit Regina’s economic growth to 1.6 per cent this year.
  • Saskatoon will lead the way in 2009 with real GDP growth of 1.7 per cent.
  • Calgary will suffer its first GDP contraction since 1989, as its economy shrinks by 0.1 per cent.
  • Lower oil prices will drag Edmonton’s economy down by 0.2 per cent this year.
  • Vancouver’s economy will shrink by 0.9 per cent this year—the first contraction since tracking began in 1987.
  • With domestic demand falling, real GDP growth in Victoria is expected to fall 0.3 per cent in 2009.
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This publication focuses on the metropolitan economies of Halifax, Quebec City, Montreal, Ottawa-Gatineau, Toronto, Hamilton, Winnipeg, Regina, Saskatoon, Calgary, Edmonton, Vancouver, and Victoria.

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