Alberta’s Five-Year Outlook—September 2026

Alberta’s Five-Year Outlook—September 2026

Provincial Economic Analysis
13 min read

Author: Jake Lenarduzzi

$705.00

This quarterly economic forecast for the province of Alberta examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry, and labour market conditions.

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Hot Markets Meet Hard Ceilings

Alberta’s real GDP is forecast to expand by 1.5 per cent in 2026, 2.9 per cent in 2027, 2.5 per cent in 2028, 2.4 per cent in 2029, and 2.2 per cent in 2030.

What is the outlook for population growth in the near term and later in the forecast? Which sector will see the most capital spending? What is the trend for housing starts from now until 2030? Has the fiscal outlook improved relative to February’s budget? And what is expected for export growth?

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