Measured Optimism With Structural Constraints
Non-residential business investment is set to grow by a modest 1.3 per cent this year, as geopolitical uncertainty continues to weigh on short-term investment prospects.
What is expected to be the weakest investment category this year? Will investment in non-residential buildings partially offset other weakness, supported by stronger building permit activity? What type of investment is showing more near-term momentum, supported by strong first-quarter gains and higher government defence spending? What will be among the strongest-performing categories and what is driving this demand? Which sector is relatively insulated from trade-related tensions and positioned for strong investment gains over the medium term? And will government efforts to streamline regulatory and project approvals, and easing trade tensions and fewer global supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict broadly support business investment from 2027 onward?
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