Canada’s Five-Year Government Outlook—August 2026

Canada’s Five-Year Government Outlook—August 2026

Canadian Economic Analysis
17 min read

Author: Richard Forbes

$225.00

This quarterly economic forecast presents the medium-term outlook for the Canadian economy. This release focuses on government. For an overview of all major components of the economy, go to the Canadian Outlook main page.

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Big Ambitions, Big Deficits

Steeper and more persistent deficits than previously projected have been a common theme across Canada this year, among the largest aggregate deficits on record. This is set to broadly restrain government spending on non-target areas over the next five years.

In what areas will new spending at both the federal and provincial levels be concentrated in the medium term? Will provincial investment plans garner the desired private sector investment to help foster a stronger economy and reduce deficits going forward? With healthcare demand rising across the country and the focus on defence spending heightened, which sectors are likely targets for cost containment?

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