Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Summer 2007

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Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Summer 2007

Canadian Economic Analysis

Author: Pedro Antunes

$500.00

  • The U.S. economy should rebound strongly from a very weak first-quarter performance. Consumer spending is hanging on despite slumping new home construction, while business investment and trade will also add to growth.
  • Real gross domestic product (GDP) growth for Canada is forecast to ease to 2.5 per cent in 2007, as the high-flying loonie will hurt net exports. Economic growth is expected to accelerate to 3.2 per cent in 2008, helped by a better trade performance and steady domestic demand.
  • Core inflation nationally has recently been boosted by overheated Western provincial economies. The Canadian dollar’s surge to above US$0.95 is expected to restrain the Bank of Canada from raising short-term rates further.
  • The general rise in commodity prices may be here to stay. Seemingly insatiable global demand for raw materials, coupled with a recovery in forestry product prices, should keep prices elevated and shore up resource revenues and investment.
  • Sound the trumpets . . . Canada’s provincial governments are all expecting surpluses! Spending by all levels of government is expected to continue growing at a strong and steady pace.
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This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

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