Inflation Expectations Rise Amidst Growing Uncertainty
Uncertainty surrounding Trump’s trade war has stoked inflation expectations. In March 2025, expectations were for one-year inflation to increase to 3.5 per cent. Are consumers and businesses integrating the U.S.’s tariff threats into their long-term inflation expectations? What are the impacts of the trade war on consumer and business confidence and, concomitantly, on spending, investment and jobs? How will the Bank of Canada respond?
Read the issue briefing to get our full analysis.

