Canada’s Five-Year Outlook—April 2026

Canada’s Five-Year Outlook—April 2026

Canadian Economic Analysis
30 min read

Author: David Ristovski, Doris Chu, Jake Lenarduzzi, Kiefer Van Mulligen, Maxime Arseneau, Meghan Eibner, Richard Forbes, Robin Wiebe

$735.00

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

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Middle East Turmoil Adds a New Layer of Risk

This quarter, we assess the economic impact on Canada of a falling population, conflict in the Middle East, and ongoing trade tension with the United States.

How much will these challenges be offset by increased defence spending, efforts to spur private investment across the country, and the push to diversity trade? What could higher oil prices mean for inflation—and for Canada’s oil-producing provinces? Can nervous consumers keep the economy moving? We share our forecast for Canada’s economic and fiscal outlook over the next five years, including gross domestic product, interest rates, jobs, business investment, housing markets, and international trade.

Read the online experience to get our full analysis.

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